Nuclear power, no thanks. Well OK, just a little

Here’s a surprising opinion poll from NHK, on the question of the government energy policy, and whether to have 0%, 15% or 20%-25% nuclear power by 2030. 0% gets 34%, 15% gets 40%, and 20%-25% gets 12%. Further questions included only 8% evaluating the government decision to restart Ooi power station as very high, 34% evaluating it to some degree high , 29% evaluating it poorly, and 23% very poorly. Next, 25% could agree with turning reactors deemed safe back on, 27% oppose, and 43% cannot say.

As a bonus question, people were asked what party would be best to govern Japan; 4% selected a DPJ-led government, 12% LDP-led, 21% a grand DPJ-LDP coalition, and 49% wanted a rebalancing of political power, which probably mainly refers to Hashimoto’s One Osaka and similar parties. The next election (perhaps in October or November) looks like it will be fun…

Continuing this theme, on NHK tonight they had a story about the start of the citizens’ debates into the future energy policy. The big news was that in the three or four that took place over the weekend, on the "randomly selected" panel of initial speakers, there was a suspiciously-high percentage of people employed by the local electricity company (although they were quick to stress they were only talking personally…) and other nuclear power promotional quangos.

NHK mentioned that these meeting were organised by a major media-related company, which I suspect was code for Dentsu. Goodness only knows what they were thinking – I cannot really imagine a larger red rag to a bull than fixing these governmental meetings. :headdesk:

  1. I think you’re overinterpreting those poll results.

    To me, it looks similar to the EEC (now EU) referenda in the UK in the 1970s. Polling before both showed 2/3 against EEC membership at the beginning of a campaign, but the vote ended both times 2/3 for joining. That is, these are questions yet to properly be debated. such that voters have not had the chance to take part in informed decision making and so can’t vote. It’s a sobering effect to be faced with a ballot paper.

    My gut tells me not to believe that Hashimoto could garner 49% in a national election. (I also don’t believe LDP genuinely gets that much more support than DPJ. I’d like to see how that translates into turnout.

    I cannot really imagine a larger red rag to a bull than fixing these governmental meetings.

    Well, exactly. The case for continuing with nuclear is strong enough that one gains more politically for arguing honestly than by undermining the discussion process.

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  2. Meanwhile, those in Kansai who choose not to ignore it will see that today’s power use is already at 24GW, which 2 weeks ago (according to July 1 power supply data) would have meant exceeding 100% capacity and thus rolling blackouts.

    But “luckily” we have an extra 1.2 GW from Oi, and another 1GW or so from power companies outside Kansai.

    Data available at
    http://www.kepco.co.jp/yamasou/jisseki.zip

    So all those anti-nuke protesters can keep their A/C running today. It’s gonna be a hot one.

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  3. @Level3: Are you sure it’s not 1.21 GW? because at least we’d have a nice meme in that :shock:

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  4. @S:

    It’s actually 1.18GW, I rounded up.
    Great Scott! :wink:

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  5. There haven’t been many updates lately, so I’ll link to this here:

    From The Daily Yomiuri Online:
    573 deaths ‘related to nuclear crisis’
    http://www.yomiuri.co.jp/dy/national/T120204003191.htm

    “A total of 573 deaths have been certified as “disaster-related” by 13 municipalities affected by the crisis at the crippled Fukushima No. 1 nuclear power plant, according to a Yomiuri Shimbun survey.”

    That proves that the Fukushima accident released far more radiation than the mainstream media has been admitting, right?

    Well, go down about 5 paragraphs…
    “A disaster-related death certificate is issued when a death is not directly caused by a tragedy, but by fatigue or the aggravation of a chronic disease due to the disaster.”

    So no, these are not people who died because of the radiation from Fukushima, but because of the evacuation of the area around Fukushima. Still very sad for them and their families, and quite justified in hitting up TEPCO for making this whole mess necessary, but no reason to panic and flee Japan.

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